Liverpool Uveal Melanoma Prognosticator Online (LUMPO) III    Ver10.1

 

    Date:
Patient's Name: Hospital Number:
Practitioner's Name: Position:
   
  Age years   Epithelioid cells  
  Sex   Closed PAS +ve loops  
Large ultrasound diameter mm Mitotic rate /40
  Ultrasound thickness mm   Chromosome 3 loss  
  Ciliary body involvement   Chromosome 8q gain  
  Extraocular extension        
             
  Years since treatment years   First scan years  
  Regional lymph nodes*   Time from Metastasis to death months  
  Distant metastasis*   Number needed to scan  
 

* Parameters indicated by an asterisk are included for TNM staging only and have no effect on the survival curve

 

 

  

 

 

 

 
...
Estimated overall survival after treatment for choroidal melanoma
MAM: Metastatic-Associated Mortality, OCM: Other Causes Mortality

Probability of survival from all causes

Cumulative Incidence. Blue: Alive, Green: MAM, Yellow: OCM

At 5 years, MAM = ..., OCM = ..., chance of survival = ...
At 10 years, MAM = ..., OCM = ..., chance of survival = ...
T: ... N: ... M: ... Stage: ...
Threshold for next scan at: ...
Survival: Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
All causes: ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Mortality: Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Metastasis ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
Other causes: ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...

 


Dept. of Medical Physics & Clinical Engineering, Royal Liverpool University Hospital

 

Reference: A. Eleuteri, A.F.G. Taktak, S.E. Coupland, H. Heimann, H. Kalirai, B.E. Damato (2018). Prognostication of metastatic death in uveal melanoma patients: A Markov multi-state model. Comp Biol Med, 102, pp 151 - 156   

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